
The outcome of US efforts to redraw the international trading regime remain highly uncertain. They are likely to most directly impact the US itself as well as China, who may be left with the largest increase in tariffs once the dust settles. Over time, however, any reconfiguration may have a profound effect on one of China’s bordering nations. India, where the US Vice-President has undertaken a four-day visit, and hailed ‘very good progress’ on a trade deal. India, which is seen as one of the more protectionist large economies, may opt to liberalise in order to maintain access to the