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Tim Gaumer

Twitter: @TimGaumer

LinkedIn: Tim Gaumer

Email: tim.gaumer@lseg.com

Numbers of post written by this author: 34

Tim Gaumer
Tim Gaumer is the Global Director of Fundamental Research at LSEG. He held the same position at StarMine, a company acquired in 2008. With more than 17 years of experience conducting fundamental analysis, Tim is widely regarded as an expert in helping fundamental investors apply innovative analytics in their investment process. He has worked for two independent research firms and most recently as director of research at Jefferson Research & Management. He also previously worked at several buy-side firms, most recently at Transamerica Investment Management as an equity analyst and portfolio manager. Tim is a much sought-after speaker, regularly presenting at global CFA Societies and industry conferences. He holds the Chartered Financial Analyst designation and has an undergraduate degree in Electrical Engineering and graduate degree in Business Administration.

List of all the posts by Tim Gaumer

StarMine Model Correctly Identifies Cybersecurity Firm, Splunk, as Acquisition Target

Just recently released into production, the StarMine M&A Target Model is the newest predictive model from LSEG StarMine. This model has been designed to predict the likelihood of a publicly traded company becoming the target of a takeover or merger offer. Like all StarMine models, it ranks companies on a 1-100 scale. In the case of this model, companies with high scores are, on average, nine times more likely to become a target than those with low scores (Exhibit 1). The model has two major components: A Fundamental Component and a Text Component. The Fundamental Component uses LSEG content from
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Rio Tinto: Digging a Deeper Hole

Okay, to be fair, while we enjoy an occasional pun, Rio Tinto is not in a hole – it remains nicely profitable, with positive free cash flows, high dividend yield, and a strong balance sheet. However, against a backdrop of weakening demand and lower commodity prices, analysts have been cutting their estimates on the company. The StarMine Analyst Revisions Model (ARM) from Refinitiv provides a rapid signal to users of significant changes in analyst sentiment, as represented by estimate revisions and/or recommendation changes. Australian-listed mining company, Rio Tinto (RIO.AX) is highly exposed to iron ore prices. As you can see
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A Weakening Outlook for Consumer Demand for Tech Hardware Reflected in StarMine’s Analyst Revisions Model Scores

The consumer technology industry is facing headwinds. Consumer demand appears to be weakening alongside an economic slowdown. Channel inventories are on the rise. Covid-19 related lockdowns are creating supply chain problems within and from China. Higher semiconductor and component prices are increasing margin pressures and a stronger U.S. dollar isn’t helping. In this update, we’ll demonstrate how these developments have changed the sell-side outlook for two companies: Tokyo Stock Exchange listed Sharp Corp (6753.T) and Hong Kong listed Lenovo Group Ltd (0992.HK) and how the StarMine Analyst Revisions Model (ARM) from Refinitiv provided a rapid signal to users of significant
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Inflation May Spark a Fed-Induced ‘Taper Tantrum’

Even casual Fed watchers must by now have taken note of the Fed’s announcement that it planned to begin tapering its monthly bond purchases around mid-November. Now, here we are. So far, the equity markets seem to be taking the news in stride – maybe because the current slate of Fed officials have been more transparent and communicated better than some of their predecessors.  However, with headline inflation now topping 6%, the highest in 30 years, the U.S. economy may be running hotter than Fed officials anticipated. And inflation may be looking less transitory than they hoped. For example, recent
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