In Jul. 2019 we published our top ten second quarter earnings surprise candidates based on StarMine predictive analytics models. Of these 19Q2 North American earnings surprise candidates picks, 70% were correct. The StarMine SmartEstimate®  is a weighted average of analyst estimates, with more weight given to more recent estimates and more accurate analysts. Our studies have shown that when the SmartEstimate® differs significantly from the consensus (IBES Mean), the Predicted Surprise accurately predicts the direction of earnings surprises or further revisions 70% of the time. When significant Predicted Surprise for revenue is also present for the period, the accuracy improves to 78%.

Netflix shows that it’s not enough to beat earnings. The media giant beat 19Q2 earnings with an EPS of $0.60 vs. the $0.56 per share estimate; however, failed to deliver on a key performance indicator. Net subscriber additions for the quarter of 2,699 million missed expectations by 47.2%. As a result, Netflix shares have fallen 16%. Now that the stage has been set, investors eagerly await the fate of the remaining members of F.A.N.G., Facebook Inc (FB.O), Amazon.com Inc (AMZN.O), and Alphabet Inc (GOOGL.O, GOOG.O), which start to report this afternoon with Facebook. Exhibit 1: F.A.N.G. YoY Growth Rates Analysts