The StarMine team has selected five North American companies, using Eikon Screener by Refinitiv, that we expect to beat 19Q1 earnings estimates, based on SmartEstimate® and Predicted Surprise data. Our North American selections for 2018 Q4 positive Predicted Surprises were 100% accurate, which can be seen here. Historically (since 2011 Q4), our positive Predicted Surprise picks have demonstrated an accuracy rate of about 81.9%, giving investors an edge ahead of earnings announcements. Our North American picks for positive Predicted Surprises in 2019 Q1 are — Fairfax Financial Holdings Ltd (FFH.TO), Amazon.com Inc (AMZN.O), Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical Inc (RARE.O), Whiting Petroleum Corp (WLL.N), Paccar Inc

In Oct 2018 we published our top ten second quarter earnings surprise candidates based on StarMine predictive analytics models. Of these 18Q3 North American earnings surprise candidates picks, 90% were correct. The StarMine SmartEstimate®  is a weighted average of analyst estimates, with more weight given to more recent estimates and more accurate analysts. Our studies have shown that when the SmartEstimate® differs significantly from the consensus (IBES Mean), the Predicted Surprise accurately predicts the direction of earnings surprises or further revisions 70% of the time. When significant Predicted Surprise for revenue is also present for the period, the accuracy improves to 78%.

The StarMine team has selected five North American companies, using Eikon Screener by Refinitiv, that we expect to beat 18Q3 earnings estimates, based on SmartEstimate® and Predicted Surprise data. Our North American selections for 2018 Q2 positive Predicted Surprises were 50% accurate, which can be seen here. Historically (since 2011 Q4), our positive Predicted Surprise picks have demonstrated an accuracy rate of about 80.6%, giving investors an edge ahead of earnings announcements. Our North American picks for positive Predicted Surprises in 2018 Q3 are — United Rentals Inc (URI.N), Newfield Exploration Co (NFX.N), Neurocrine Biosciences Inc (NBIX.O), Progressive Corp (PGR.N), and Paccar Inc (PCAR.O). SmartEstimates® aim to

A historic week saw the Dow Jones Industrials Average (.DJI) close above 20K for the first time, President Trump’s first week in office, and a flood of fourth quarter earnings from 108 S&P 500 constituents.