US investors go large on domestic equities while the rest of the world backpedals   Sentiment is fickle, particularly so regarding US equities at the moment. As the year turned, the IMF had revised US growth expectations upward and investors were looking forward to the wind in their sails, with returns elevated by tax cuts and deregulation promised by the new administration. As I write, the S&P 500 is down almost 5%, posting its worst quarterly performance since 2022. How are fund investors responding? In aggregate, global fund flow data doesn’t show a rush for the exits—so far. Over Q4

The list lengthens as President Trump reiterated his intent for India to join the likes of Canada and Mexico, with plans to raise US tariffs by 2 April. India has traditionally been more of a closed economy and maintained tariff rates above global norms, imposing a mean average 14.36% rate in 2022 — much higher than the average tariff imposed by the US of 2.7%. Mr Trump aims to address this imbalance. Refresh this chart in your browser | Edit the chart in Datastream India is forecast, by the IMF, to become the world’s third largest economy by 2028 (when measured at

Economists will often borrow theories and techniques, devised by other disciplines, to better advance their understanding of the world. One clear example of this is the so-called ‘gravity model of trade’. As physicists will tell you, Newton’s law of universal gravitation states that the gravitational pull exerted between two objects is proportional to the mass of each object, and it is inversely proportional to the distance between them. In turns out that something similar is true regarding the flow of global trade — the larger two economies are, and the shorter the distance between them, the more they tend to