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At the beginning of the third quarter, the StarMine research team perused corporate earnings forecasts in search of companies most likely to report a significant positive or negative earnings surprise. All the numbers are in and we find that StarMine was right in seven of the nine picks – above its historical average.
Using StarMine SmartEstimate and Predicted Surprise data, we highlighted nine companies that we believed had a high probability of recording an earnings surprise in the third quarter — five likely to beat the analysts’ consensus estimate and another four likely to fall short.
In the case of these nine selections — each of which was the subject of an article on Lipper Alpha Insight in the weeks leading up to their earnings announcement – seven went in the direction of the prediction and two went in the opposite direction.