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January 4, 2016

StarMine Hits 77% Score In Q3 Earnings Surprise Forecast

by Sridharan Raman.

At the beginning of the third quarter, the StarMine research team perused corporate earnings forecasts in search of companies most likely to report a significant positive or negative earnings surprise. All the numbers are in and we find that StarMine was right in seven of the nine picks – above its historical average.

Using StarMine SmartEstimate and Predicted Surprise data, we highlighted nine companies that we believed had a high probability of recording an earnings surprise in the third quarter — five likely to beat the analysts’ consensus estimate and another four  likely to fall short.

In the case of these nine selections — each of which was the subject of an article on Lipper Alpha Insight in the weeks leading up to their earnings announcement – seven went in the direction of the prediction and two went in the opposite direction.

Stay tuned for our picks for the fourth quarter.

 

Positive Surprises

Source: Thomson Reuters Eikon/ StarMine

Source: Eikon/ StarMine

Negative Surprises

Source: Thomson Reuters Eikon/ StarMine

Source: Eikon/ StarMine

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