October 28, 2019

Chart of the Week: UK economic sentiment remains close to recession levels

by Fathom Consulting.

Fathom’s UK Economic Sentiment Indicator (ESI) was -0.2% in September, unchanged from the figure for August. It has not registered such a low reading since the tail end of the 2008/09 recession. Our UK ESI provides a useful indicator of the underlying pace of economic activity, and tends to be less volatile than the official measure of GDP growth. With the date of the UK’s departure from the EU now further postponed, and with the prospect of a general election within the next few months, the risks to UK economic sentiment and to economic growth lie to the downside.

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