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May 12, 2014

MONDAY MORNING MEMO: Once again, bond funds are European investors’ darlings in March 2014

by Lipper Alpha Insight.

The European mutual fund industry enjoyed overall net inflows of €35.8 bn into long-term mutual funds for March 2014. The net inflows for March were mainly driven by flows into bond funds (+€21.5 bn), followed by mixed-asset funds (+€8.5 bn) and equity products (+€3.6 bn). In addition, funds from the “other” peer group (+€1.7 bn), property products (+€0.3 bn), as well as alternatives/hedge funds (+€0.1 bn) and commodity funds (+€0.03 bn) saw net inflows.

A flag flies outside the door of the New York Stock Exchange in New York

Over the course of the first quarter of the year 2014 the European fund industry enjoyed net inflows of €112.4 bn into long-term mutual funds. With net inflows of €50.1 bn, bond funds were the main contributor, followed by equity funds (+€32.6 bn) and mixed-asset products (+€26.0 bn). Funds from the “other” peer group (+€3.1 bn), property products (+€0.8 bn), and alternatives/hedge funds (+€0.5 bn) enjoyed net inflows also, while commodity funds (-€0.8 bn) suffered net outflows.

Money Market Products

In addition to the long-term mutual funds, enhanced money market products enjoyed net inflows of €0.3 bn for March, while money market funds faced net outflows of €7.2 bn. Despite the net outflows for February and March, money market funds still posted net inflows of €15.1 bn for first quarter 2014.

While money market GBP saw the highest net inflows (+€3.1 bn) for March, money market EUR suffered for the second month in a row the highest net outflows (-€9.8 bn) of all fund categories covered in the FundFile database.

Graph 1: Estimated Net Sales, March 2014 (Euro Millions)

14-05 ENS by Asset Type

Source: Lipper FundFile

Fund Flows by Sectors

With regard to long-term funds, asset allocation products (+€5.7 bn net) were the best selling asset class, followed by bonds UK Gilt (+€5.6 bn) and equities specialty (+€2.5 bn) as well as bonds flexible (+€2.5 bn) and bonds USD corporate investment-grade (+€2.4 bn). At the other end of the spectrum bonds global currencies (-€1.4 bn) suffered net outflows, bettered somewhat by equities Euroland (-€1.3 bn) as well as guaranteed funds (-€1.2 bn), equities emerging markets funds (-€1.1 bn), and equities Pacific ex Japan funds (-€0.9 bn).

Remarkably, the flows into bonds UK Gilt funds were driven by the U.K.-domiciled Scottish Widows Gilt Fund, which enjoyed net inflows of €5.6 bn because of a restructuring of existing assets from life and pension funds at Lloyds/Scottish Widows.

The asset allocation sector (+€17.1 bn) was the best selling long-term fund sector over the course of 2014 so far, followed by equities Europe (+€12.0 bn), equities North America (+€8.9 bn), equities specialty (+€8.1 bn), and bonds EUR (+€7.7 bn). On the other side of the table guaranteed funds (-€5.7 bn), equities Pacific ex–Japan funds (-€5.5 bn), and equities emerging markets funds (-€4.8 bn) suffered the highest net outflows for 2014, bettered somewhat by bonds emerging markets in local currencies (-€4.7 bn) as well as bonds global currencies (-€2.9 bn).

Fund Flows by Markets

The fund market flows for long-term funds were dominated by funds domiciled in the international cross-border hubs–mainly Luxembourg and Ireland (+€20.0 bn), followed by funds domiciled in the United Kingdom (+€6.8 bn), Italy (+€4.0 bn), and Spain (+€2.7 bn). Meanwhile, Denmark (-€0.6 bn), Austria (-€0.4 bn), and The Netherlands (-€0.4 bn) stood on the other side.

Graph 2: Estimated Net Sales by Country, March 2014 (Euro Millions)

 14-05 Market Flows

Source: Lipper FundFile

As was to be expected, the international cross-border fund hubs (+€64.0 bn) dominated the flows over the course of first quarter 2014, followed by Italy (+€20.0 bn), Norway (+€8.4 bn), the United Kingdom (+€8.2 bn), and Spain (+€7.7 bn).

The inflows into equity funds were also dominated by international cross-border funds (+€5.7 bn), followed by funds domiciled in Switzerland (+€0.5 bn), Italy (+€0.4 bn), Spain (+€0.3 bn), and the Czech Republic (+€0.02 bn). Funds domiciled in Germany (-€0.8 bn), Finland (-€0.5 bn), and Sweden (-€0.5 bn) stood at the other end of the table.

Within the bond sector funds domiciled in the international cross-border hubs (+€9.3 bn) dominated the scene, followed by funds domiciled in the United Kingdom (+€6.0 bn), Spain (+€2.3 bn), and Italy (+€1.1 bn) as well as Sweden (+€0.9 bn). On the other side Denmark (-€0.5 bn) was the domicile with the highest net outflows from bond funds, bettered somewhat by funds domiciled in Austria (-€0.3 bn) and Russia (-€0.1 bn).

Fund Flows by Promoter

Lloyds/SWIP, with net sales of €5.4 bn, was the best selling group of long-term funds for March, ahead of BlackRock (+€1.9 bn), UBS (+€1.8 bn), JP Morgan (+€1.6 bn), and Intesa SP (+€1.4 bn). Because of the inflows into three newly launched institutional funds during January and February, Den Norske Bank (DNB) (+€9.4 bn) was the best selling group for first quarter 2014, ahead of BlackRock (+€9.1 bn) and UBS (+€6.8 bn).

Graph 3: Market Share of the Ten Best Selling Groups, March 2014 (%)

14-05 Market Share Groups

Source: Lipper FundFile

On a single-asset basis Lloyds/SWIP was the best selling promoter of bond funds (+€6.1 bn) for March, followed by ING (+€1.8 bn) and BlackRock (+€1.7 bn). Within the equity space Franklin Templeton (+€0.8 bn) stood at the top of the table, followed by Schroders (+€0.8 bn) and Henderson Global Investors (+€0.7 bn).

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