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March 26, 2020

Fathom’s Chart of the Day 26.03.2020: Investors see 50% chance of a severe financial crisis

by Fathom Consulting.

Fathom’s Chart of the Day 26.03.2020: Investors see 50% chance of a severe financial crisis

One reading of recent movements in corporate fixed income markets, with spreads on both A and BBB rated debt rising some 300 basis points over the past month, is that investors see close to an evens chance that the global economy is set for another financial crisis on a par with that seen in 2008/09. That sounds about right to us.

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This chart is taken from Fathom’s daily Recession Watch newsletter. To subscribe, please click here. Opt in to join Fathom’s weekly Recession Watch Forum and participate in lively discussions with our team and others in the community.

Next forum date: Monday 30 March 2020, 4:00pm GMT

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