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April 29, 2020

Fathom’s Chart of the Day 29.04.2020: COVID-19 curves – bend or flatten?

by Fathom Consulting.

While almost all countries are following similar approaches, there appears to be a difference between those who want to flatten and those who want to bend their COVID-19 curves. Countries such as Australia and New Zealand seem to be trying to suppress the virus entirely, with daily new cases below 100 before relaxing restrictions. That is consistent with bending. In contrast, countries in Europe and individual US states appear willing to ease lockdown measures subject to the constraint of the reproduction rate being below 1 and the health system not being overwhelmed, even if that means an ongoing presence of the virus.

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This chart is taken from Fathom’s Recession Watch newsletter. Click here to subscribe to Recession Watch and receive invitations to Fathom’s regular Recession Watch Forums and participate in lively discussions with our team and others in the community.

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