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The COVID-19 pandemic appears to have all the hallmark of one great, orderly and synchronised global consumer deleveraging. This deleveraging has been spurred on by falls in consumption amid economy-wide lockdowns. Swift and sizeable government interventions have been the other essential ingredient as these policies have averted both corporate and consumer defaults and, therefore, reduced the risk of another financial crisis. This deleveraging is unlikely to last in the face of abundant liquidity and cheap credit. Any reversal is likely to add further momentum towards a V-shaped recovery.
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As the COVID-19 crisis continues we are making adjustments to our publication schedule. Recovery Watch will be published three times a week. Please click here to subscribe to the newsletter or join Fathom’s regular Recovery Watch Forums and participate in lively discussions with our team and others in the community.
Next forum date: Monday 15 June 2020
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