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October 8, 2021

StarMine Models Pick FTSE Russell 1000 Companies for 21Q3 Earnings Misses

by Tajinder Dhillon and Thomas Alonso.

The StarMine team has selected five FTSE Russell 1000 companies, using Eikon Screener by Refinitiv, that we expect to miss 21Q3 earnings estimates, based on SmartEstimate® and Predicted Surprise data.

Our North American selections for 2021 Q2 negative Predicted Surprises were 80% accurate, which can be viewed here.

Our FTSE Russell 1000 picks for negative Predicted Surprises in 21Q3 are — Lennox International Inc. (LII.N), Kansas City Southern (KSU.N), Illinois Tool Works Inc. (ITW.N), Freshpet Inc. (FRPT.O) and Parker-Hannifin Corp (PH.N).

SmartEstimates® aim to provide earnings forecasts that are more accurate than I/B/E/S Consensus Estimates, by putting more weight on the recent forecasts of top-rated analysts. When SmartEstimates® diverge significantly from Consensus, you can anticipate the occurrence of earnings surprises with an accuracy rate of 70%. Revenue SmartEstimates® are even more predictive of surprises, with a historical accuracy rate of 78%.

Negative surprise predictions


Interested in learning how you can use the StarMine SmartEstimate® and Predicted Surprise® to avoid earnings misses and find earnings beats? Learn more here.

Each week the StarMine Earnings Surprise Forecast is published as part of the This Week in Earnings report. The forecast shows the S&P 500 companies with significant positive and negative Predicted Surprises expected to report over the next two weeks. Don’t be surprised when your holdings show up in This Week in Earnings, learn how to use Eikon from Refinitiv’s Screener app to see these companies ahead of publication here.

Refinitiv offers a powerful combination of content, analytics and tools for better investment research, find out more.


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