Update of the Thomson Reuters S&P 500 Earnings Today report including the Q4 2015 Earnings Dashboard and Q1 2016 overview and guidance.
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- EARNINGS
- Q4 2015
- The Q4 2015 blended earnings growth estimate is -2.9%. Excluding the energy sector, the earnings growth estimate for the index increases to 3.4%.
- 99% of the S&P 500 companies have reported Q4 2015 EPS. Of the 496 companies in the S&P 500 that have reported earnings to date for Q4 2015, 67.3% have reported earnings above analyst expectations, 10.5% reported earnings in line with analyst expectations and 22.2% reported earnings below analyst expectations. In a typical quarter (since 1994), 63% of companies beat estimates, 16% match and 21% miss estimates. Over the past four quarters, 69% of companies beat estimates, 9% matched and 22% missed estimates.
- In the S&P 500, there have been 98 negative EPS preannouncements issued by corporations for Q4 2015 compared to 32 positive EPS preannouncements. By dividing 98 by 32 one arrives at an N/P ratio of 3.1 for the S&P 500 Index. This is above the long term average (since 1997) of 2.7 and below the trailing four quarter average of 4.3.
- Q1 2016
- The Q1 2016 blended earnings growth estimate is -6.8%. Excluding the energy sector, the earnings growth estimate for the index increases to -1.7%.
- In the S&P 500, there have been 91 negative EPS preannouncements issued by corporations for Q1 2016 compared to 22 positive EPS preannouncements. By dividing 91 by 22 one arrives at an N/P ratio of 4.1 for the S&P 500 Index.
- REVENUE
- Q4 2015
- The Q4 2015 blended revenue growth estimate is -3.6%. Excluding the energy sector, the revenue growth estimate for the index increases to 0.9%.
- 46% have reported Q4 2015 revenue above analyst expectations, 0% reported earnings in line with analyst expectations and 54% reported earnings below analyst expectations. In a typical quarter (since 2002), 60% of companies beat estimates and 40% miss estimates. Over the past four quarters, 48% of companies beat estimates and 52% missed estimates.
- In the S&P 500, there have been 69 negative revenue preannouncements issued by corporations for Q4 2015 compared to 34 positive EPS preannouncements. By dividing 69 by 34 one arrives at an N/P ratio of 2.0 for the S&P 500 Index. This is above the long term average (since 2008) of 1.8 and in-line with the trailing four quarter average of 2.0.
- Q1 2016
- The Q1 2016 blended revenue growth estimate is -0.9%. Excluding the energy sector, the revenue growth estimate for the index increases to 1.9%.
- In the S&P 500, there have been 51 negative revenue preannouncements issued by corporations for Q1 2016 compared to 35 positive EPS preannouncements. By dividing 51 by 35 one arrives at an N/P ratio of 1.5 for the S&P 500 Index.
Please note: if you use our earnings data, please source I/B/E/S
S&P 500 Earnings Scorecard
